We’ve got another exciting Eastern Conference matchup on Monday’s NBA schedule as the Toronto Raptors will host the Indiana Pacers. Toronto is 2-12 overall and 2-4 at home, while Indiana is 6-7 overall and 2-5 on the road. The teams split their four matchups last season, with the road team winning each game. Toronto is 9-5 against the spread (ATS) in the 2024-25 NBA season, while Indiana is 7-6 versus the line.
Tipoff is at 7:30 p.m. ET at the Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. Indiana is favored by 4 points in the latest Raptors vs. Pacers odds, per SportsLine consensus, and the over/under is 233.5 points. Before entering any Pacers vs. Raptors picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 5 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 109-74 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning more than $3,000. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen huge returns.
The model has set its sights on Indiana vs. Toronto. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Pacers vs. Raptors:
Raptors vs. Pacers spread: Raptors +4
Raptors vs. Pacers over/under: 233.5 points
Raptors vs. Pacers money line: Raptors: +149, Pacers: -179
Raptors vs. Pacers picks: See picks at SportsLine
Raptors vs. Pacers streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Raptors can cover
The Raptors fell on Saturday, 126-123, to the Boston Celtics on a last-minute shot from Jayson Tatum, but despite the loss, the Raptors got a top-tier performance from Jakob Poeltl. He dropped a double-double on 35 points and 12 rebounds while shooting 84.2% from the field. RJ Barrett was another key player, posting a triple-double on 25 points, 10 rebounds, and 15 assists.
Even though Toronto’s 2-12 record is the worst in the NBA, its 9-5 ATS record is among the best. Only two teams have more covers this season, and the Raptors are elite in one area, and that’s defending the 3-point line. They allow the second-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA, which could limit Indiana’s potentially high-octane offense. Toronto also gets to face a depleted Pacers squad which has lost centers Isaiah Jackson and James Wiseman to season-ending Achilles’ injuries, and has also been without starters Aaron Nesmith (ankle) and Andrew Nembhard (knee) for the last 10-plus days. See which team to pick here.
Why the Pacers can cover
Meanwhile, the Pacers earned a 119-110 win over the Miami Heat on Sunday, with Myles Turner leading the way with 34 points and nine rebounds. The team also got some help courtesy of Bennedict Mathurin, who dropped a double-double on 21 points and 12 rebounds, while Tyrese Haliburton had his own double-double with 16 points and 13 assists.
The Pacers operate one of the league’s most efficient offenses, ranking fourth in field goal percentage and sixth in effective FG%. Defensively, Turner patrols the paint, ranking seventh with 1.8 blocks per game, while the team, as a whole, does an excellent job on the perimeter, keeping opponents to the sixth-lowest 3-point percentage. The Pacers can also take comfort in the fact that they’ve beaten the Raptors in three straight games in Toronto. See which team to pick here.
How to make Raptors vs. Pacers picks
The model has simulated Pacers vs. Raptors 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that hits 60% of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.